Vail Resorts Stock Performance

MTN Stock  USD 130.42  2.65  1.99%   
The entity has a beta of 1.16, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vail Resorts will likely underperform. At this point, Vail Resorts has a negative expected return of -0.0551%. Please make sure to validate Vail Resorts' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Vail Resorts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vail Resorts has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vail Resorts is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.22
Five Day Return
0.0526
Year To Date Return
(0.66)
Ten Year Return
9.13
All Time Return
491.42
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0675
Payout Ratio
1.3021
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Dividend Rate
8.88
Dividend Date
2026-01-12
1
Disposition of 169 shares by Julie DeCecco of Vail Resorts at 147.74 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
Vail Resorts reiterates 842M898M EBITDA guidance with new lift ticket and marketing strategies for FY2026
12/11/2025
3
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Vail Resortss Q3 Earnings Call
12/17/2025
4
Q2 EPS Estimates for Vail Resorts Lowered by Zacks Research
12/31/2025
5
Popular ski resort finally reopening after patroller strike
01/09/2026
 
Vail Resorts dividend paid on 12th of January 2026
01/12/2026
6
Discounted shares, new leadership lead Jefferies to turn bullish on Vail Resorts
01/13/2026
7
Vail Resorts Reports Certain Ski Season Metrics for the Season-to-Date Period Ended January 4, 2026
01/15/2026
8
Vail Resorts is having a very dry year It reported a recordlow snowpack, forcing the company to lower its 2026 earnings outlook
01/16/2026
9
Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow337.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-204.5 M

Vail Resorts Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,961  in Vail Resorts on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (654.00) from holding Vail Resorts or give up 4.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vail Resorts is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1468% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Vail, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vail Resorts is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Vail Resorts Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vail Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 130.42 90 days 130.42 
over 95.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vail Resorts to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.11 (This Vail Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Vail Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vail Resorts will likely underperform. Additionally Vail Resorts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vail Resorts Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vail Resorts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vail Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vail Resorts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
130.92133.07135.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.76137.88140.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
127.86130.01132.15
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
158.92174.64193.85
Details

Vail Resorts Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vail Resorts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vail Resorts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vail Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vail Resorts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
6.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Vail Resorts Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vail Resorts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vail Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of January 2026 Vail Resorts paid $ 2.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages

Vail Resorts Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vail Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vail Resorts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vail Resorts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments440.3 M

Vail Resorts Fundamentals Growth

Vail Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vail Resorts, and Vail Resorts fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vail Stock performance.

About Vail Resorts Performance

By examining Vail Resorts' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vail Resorts' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vail Resorts is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 211.51  222.09 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.59  0.62 

Things to note about Vail Resorts performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vail Resorts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vail Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of January 2026 Vail Resorts paid $ 2.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages
Evaluating Vail Resorts' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vail Resorts' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vail Resorts' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vail Resorts' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vail Resorts' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vail Resorts' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vail Resorts' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vail Resorts' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vail Resorts' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vail Resorts' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vail Resorts' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Vail Resorts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vail Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vail Resorts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vail Resorts Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Vail diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. Expected growth trajectory for Vail significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vail Resorts data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.105
Dividend Share
8.88
Earnings Share
7.04
Revenue Per Share
80.924
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Vail Resorts' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Vail Resorts represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Vail Resorts' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.