Vail Resorts Stock Performance
| MTN Stock | USD 130.42 2.65 1.99% |
The entity has a beta of 1.16, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vail Resorts will likely underperform. At this point, Vail Resorts has a negative expected return of -0.0551%. Please make sure to validate Vail Resorts' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Vail Resorts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Vail Resorts has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vail Resorts is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.22 | Five Day Return 0.0526 | Year To Date Return (0.66) | Ten Year Return 9.13 | All Time Return 491.42 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0675 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 8.88 | Dividend Date 2026-01-12 |
1 | Disposition of 169 shares by Julie DeCecco of Vail Resorts at 147.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Vail Resorts reiterates 842M898M EBITDA guidance with new lift ticket and marketing strategies for FY2026 | 12/11/2025 |
3 | 5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Vail Resortss Q3 Earnings Call | 12/17/2025 |
4 | Q2 EPS Estimates for Vail Resorts Lowered by Zacks Research | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Popular ski resort finally reopening after patroller strike | 01/09/2026 |
| Vail Resorts dividend paid on 12th of January 2026 | 01/12/2026 |
6 | Discounted shares, new leadership lead Jefferies to turn bullish on Vail Resorts | 01/13/2026 |
7 | Vail Resorts Reports Certain Ski Season Metrics for the Season-to-Date Period Ended January 4, 2026 | 01/15/2026 |
8 | Vail Resorts is having a very dry year It reported a recordlow snowpack, forcing the company to lower its 2026 earnings outlook | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages | 01/27/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 337.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -204.5 M |
Vail Resorts Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 13,961 in Vail Resorts on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (654.00) from holding Vail Resorts or give up 4.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vail Resorts is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1468% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Vail, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Vail Resorts Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Vail Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 130.42 | 90 days | 130.42 | over 95.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vail Resorts to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.11 (This Vail Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Vail Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vail Resorts will likely underperform. Additionally Vail Resorts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vail Resorts Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vail Resorts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vail Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vail Resorts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vail Resorts Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vail Resorts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vail Resorts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vail Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vail Resorts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Vail Resorts Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vail Resorts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vail Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of January 2026 Vail Resorts paid $ 2.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages |
Vail Resorts Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vail Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vail Resorts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vail Resorts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 440.3 M |
Vail Resorts Fundamentals Growth
Vail Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vail Resorts, and Vail Resorts fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vail Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0596 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.79) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.54 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 35.78 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 71.25 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 30.06 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.61 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.96 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.32 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 870.46 M | ||||
| Net Income | 280 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 440.29 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 27.49 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.44 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.59 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.61 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.35 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 554.87 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.04 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.78 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.78 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 718.66 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (617.84 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 322.87 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 506.48 M | ||||
About Vail Resorts Performance
By examining Vail Resorts' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vail Resorts' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vail Resorts is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 211.51 | 222.09 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.59 | 0.62 |
Things to note about Vail Resorts performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vail Resorts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vail Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of January 2026 Vail Resorts paid $ 2.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vail Resorts, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages |
- Analyzing Vail Resorts' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vail Resorts' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Vail Resorts' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Vail Resorts' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vail Resorts' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vail Resorts' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vail Resorts' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Vail diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. Expected growth trajectory for Vail significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vail Resorts data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.105 | Dividend Share 8.88 | Earnings Share 7.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Vail Resorts' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Vail Resorts represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Vail Resorts' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.